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Prediction for CME (2014-09-09T00:16:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-09-09T00:16Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/6596/-1
CME Note: Associated with M4.6 flare (2014-09-08T23:12Z).
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-09-11T22:56Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0
Dst min. in nT: -31
Dst min. time: 2014-09-13T03:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-09-11T20:26Z (-11.7h, +11.7h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 57.0%
Prediction Method: SAO Crowdsource
Prediction Method Note: 


 
Lead Time: 59.10 hour(s)
    
  
 

  
	Difference: 2.50 hour(s)
    
  
  


Prediction submitted by Michael Stevens (SAO) on 2014-09-09T11:50Z





        		
    

    

        
            




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